P1 · CHAPTER 07 · EVIDENCE AUDIT
Evidence audit for “Why It Feels Late (But Isn't)”
Audit “Why It Feels Late (But Isn't)” by separating its opening thesis from the evidence needed to support it. The goal is not agreement; it is a traceable judgment that can change.
WORKBOOK SEQUENCE
- 01
Rewrite this thesis as a claim that could be wrong: The noise convinces you that you've missed it. The substance says you have barely arrived.
- 02
For each section signal—Talk Saturates First; The Crowd at the Entrance; Visible Winners Distort the Clock; The Hype Cycle Is Not the Technology; The Difference Between Demonstration and Deployment; The Empty Rooms Are Specific; Why the First Inning Is Not Over; The Psychology of Feeling Late; What Signal Looks Like; The Giants Are Not the Whole Story; Historical Time Moves Slowly at First; The Practical Test; The Best Possible News—name the strongest primary source and the strongest counterexample you would seek.
- 03
Record source date, scope, incentives and whether the evidence describes a demo, repeated deployment or measured outcome.
- 04
Write an update rule: what new observation would materially weaken or strengthen the thesis?
EXPECTED OUTPUT
Leave with a decision artifact.
A one-page evidence ledger with claim, supporting source, counterevidence, confidence and next review date.