P2 · CHAPTER 10 · EVIDENCE AUDIT
Evidence audit for “The Half-Life of Skills”
Audit “The Half-Life of Skills” by separating its opening thesis from the evidence needed to support it. The goal is not agreement; it is a traceable judgment that can change.
WORKBOOK SEQUENCE
- 01
Rewrite this thesis as a claim that could be wrong: Some skills are expiring faster than ever. Others are appreciating just as fast. Knowing which is everything.
- 02
For each section signal—The Shelf Life of Competence; What Models Are Absorbing; Depreciation Is Not Disappearance; The Skills That Appreciate; Taste Is a Form of Compression; Judgment Under Uncertainty; Problem Framing Is Leverage; Orchestration Is the New Managerial Skill; Rebalancing the Skill Portfolio; Learning at the New Clock Speed; The New Apprenticeship; The Human Premium; A Practical Curriculum for Being Early; The Durable Edge—name the strongest primary source and the strongest counterexample you would seek.
- 03
Record source date, scope, incentives and whether the evidence describes a demo, repeated deployment or measured outcome.
- 04
Write an update rule: what new observation would materially weaken or strengthen the thesis?
EXPECTED OUTPUT
Leave with a decision artifact.
A one-page evidence ledger with claim, supporting source, counterevidence, confidence and next review date.