P3 · CHAPTER 17 · EVIDENCE AUDIT
Evidence audit for “Positioning Yourself Early”
Audit “Positioning Yourself Early” by separating its opening thesis from the evidence needed to support it. The goal is not agreement; it is a traceable judgment that can change.
WORKBOOK SEQUENCE
- 01
Rewrite this thesis as a claim that could be wrong: Being early is worthless unless you position to capture it. The prize goes not to the person who saw the future first, but to the person standing where the future eventually had to pass.
- 02
For each section signal—The Wrong Way To Be Early; Choose Your Surface Area; Look For Bottlenecks, Not Headlines; Accumulate Skills That Compound; Build Assets Before They Are Obvious; Relationships Are Early Infrastructure; Generalists With Deep Spikes; The Intersection Is The Position; Do Not Wait For Permission From The Market; A Framework For Early Bets; Place Small Bets That Can Grow Large; Move Toward Decision Points; Use AI To Increase Your Rate Of Contact; Reputation Will Matter More, Not Less; Know What Not To Bet On; A Personal Portfolio Of Position; The Psychology Of Being Early; Stand Where The Value Will Land—name the strongest primary source and the strongest counterexample you would seek.
- 03
Record source date, scope, incentives and whether the evidence describes a demo, repeated deployment or measured outcome.
- 04
Write an update rule: what new observation would materially weaken or strengthen the thesis?
EXPECTED OUTPUT
Leave with a decision artifact.
A one-page evidence ledger with claim, supporting source, counterevidence, confidence and next review date.