P3 · CHAPTER 18 · 90-DAY EXPERIMENT
90-day experiment for “Mental Models for the Frontier”
Test “Mental Models for the Frontier” through a small, reversible 90-day experiment. The objective is evidence and reusable learning, not proving the book right.
WORKBOOK SEQUENCE
- 01
State the practical hypothesis suggested by: You cannot navigate the frontier with maps drawn for the old country. You need new ways of seeing.
- 02
Choose one observable signal from each theme: The Failure of Straight Lines; The Long Quiet Before the Loud Part; Optionality Is Not Indecision; The Frontier Is a Search Problem; Fast Updating Without Becoming a Weather Vane; The Shape of Early Advantage; Five Shifts in How to See; What to Keep Fixed; The Courage to Be Early.
- 03
Set a baseline, weekly action, success threshold, cost ceiling and explicit stop condition.
- 04
Review at days 30, 60 and 90; preserve useful examples, distribution or evaluation assets even if the hypothesis fails.
EXPECTED OUTPUT
Leave with a decision artifact.
A 90-day experiment brief with baseline, weekly cadence, thresholds, checkpoints and a final keep/change/stop decision.