P3 · CHAPTER 22 · EVIDENCE AUDIT
Evidence audit for “The Long Game”
Audit “The Long Game” by separating its opening thesis from the evidence needed to support it. The goal is not agreement; it is a traceable judgment that can change.
WORKBOOK SEQUENCE
- 01
Rewrite this thesis as a claim that could be wrong: This is a decade-long shift, not a quarter-long trade. The people who internalize that will quietly outlast everyone.
- 02
For each section signal—The Slow Part of Fast Change; The Market Wants a Clock; Compounding Belongs to the Steady; Patience Is an Active Skill; Stay in the Game; Identity for a Moving World; What to Build While Waiting; The Curve Is Not Smooth; The Human Premium; On the Far Side of the Curve; Decade Thinking—name the strongest primary source and the strongest counterexample you would seek.
- 03
Record source date, scope, incentives and whether the evidence describes a demo, repeated deployment or measured outcome.
- 04
Write an update rule: what new observation would materially weaken or strengthen the thesis?
EXPECTED OUTPUT
Leave with a decision artifact.
A one-page evidence ledger with claim, supporting source, counterevidence, confidence and next review date.